Wrexham's 18.17 xG conceded: The stat behind their Championship turnaround
The Red Dragons have conceded the fourth fewest expected goals in the league while struggling to create chances, according to data released this week.
By Isaac Medina ·

Wrexham has moved into the final international break of 2026 after a week that reversed their recent form. The club had fallen three points out of the play-off places following a slump that saw them lose three of their previous four matches.
Defensive metrics explain the stability. Wrexham has allowed an expected goals (xG) total of 18.17 in the first 15 Championship matches. That figure ranks fourth best in the division. The team also committed just one error that directly led to a goal, a joint best total in the league.
Manager Phil Parkinson credited the squad’s mental reset for the improvement. After a 1-0 loss to Sheffield United, he said the team needed a reboot. "We've had a bit of a reset this week in terms of what the performances need to look like for our supporters and everybody at the club," Parkinson told reporters.
The strategy yielded results against top tier opponents. Wrexham beat Middlesbrough 2-0 at home before drawing 1-1 with Wolverhampton Wanderers three days later. Those four points ended a difficult stretch that included a 6-0 defeat at West Ham United and home losses to Birmingham City and West Bromwich Albion.
Attacking output remains a concern despite the defensive solidity. The club has recorded an xG total of 16.80, which is lower than only five other teams in the league. They have also managed just 50 shots on target, the third lowest total in the division. Wrexham has made only four through balls, a joint lowest figure alongside Lincoln City.
Striker Kieffer Moore has overperformed his statistics. He has scored five goals and provided two assists from an xG of just 3.23. He has also won 68 aerial duels, more than any player except four others in the Championship. However, the team may need to look elsewhere for depth in January.
The club is preparing for a busy transfer window after recent personnel changes. CEO Michael Williamson left last week, with Shaun Harvey taking over as acting chief executive. Additionally, Sam Smith will undergo knee surgery this week and is set to miss the rest of the season. Parkinson said the club would look for an additional frontman in January to supplement Moore.
Injury returns are helping the squad depth. Ben Sheaf, Max Cleworth, and George Thomason have all returned to training. Nathan Broadhead is also close to returning. Parkinson used the international break to work with players who need fitness. "It's a chance to get some work in the lads who need to work and build on what we've done this week," he said. The team sits six points behind the play-off spots and eight points clear of relegation.
The squad includes new permanent signings such as Jacques Ekomie, Issa Kaboré, and Ben Whiteman. Parkinson acknowledged the season has been disjointed due to off field issues and injuries. The club was fined twice for fielding ineligible players earlier in the campaign. The next test comes after the break when the schedule resumes in mid November.





