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COP31: Brazil releases practical guide for fossil fuel transition

The document outlines specific policy levers for nations to reduce coal, oil, and gas use, arriving as the United States returns to a more assertive role in Congress.

By Anthony Shevchenko ·

Illustration for: COP31: Brazil releases practical guide for fossil fuel transition
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Brazil delivered a concrete policy framework to its counterparts at the United Nations climate summit in Antalya, Turkey.

The document, released on Tuesday during the second day of COP31, provides a step-by-step approach for countries moving from fossil fuels to renewable sources. Ana Toni, the CEO of the COP30 organizing body in Brazil, described the goal as pragmatic assistance for nations attempting to shift away from coal, oil, and gas. The guide identifies specific tools, such as stopping the construction of new fossil fuel power plants and reducing financial subsidies for those industries.

The release of this roadmap addresses a long-standing gap in international climate negotiations. While previous agreements called for a transition away from fossil fuels, they lacked operational guidance on how to execute that shift. John Kerry, the former U.S. secretary of state and climate envoy, emphasized the need for actionable strategy over rhetoric. He stated that the world no longer requires new promises but rather detailed plans. This sentiment was echoed by Stientje van Veldhoven, the Dutch minister of climate and green growth, who noted that such roadmaps provide a clear trajectory for clean energy adoption at national and regional levels.

The timing of the announcement coincides with a shift in U.S. political dynamics. Although the United States has been absent from formal negotiations for two consecutive years, the recent midterm elections resulted in a Democratic majority in both chambers of Congress. These election outcomes signaled a stronger domestic push for clean energy initiatives, challenging the fossil fuel policies promoted by President Donald Trump. Kerry linked the Brazilian roadmap to this political change, arguing that voters made climate urgency a central issue in the recent electoral cycle.

Brazil presents a complex profile for leading this transition. The nation is a major exporter of oil and holds significant deposits, yet it generates most of its domestic electricity from hydropower. Toni maintained that the roadmap benefits not only Brazil but the global community. The country is also advancing other plans during COP31, focusing on deforestation control and the implementation of $1.3 trillion in climate finance for developing nations. Stela Herschmann, a policy lead for the Brazilian environmental network Observatório do Clima, stated that every country can begin its own path regardless of its starting point.

The summit is operating under pressure from recent environmental setbacks. The United Nations adjusted its target for limiting global temperature rise to 1.5 degrees Celsius in September after the world exceeded that threshold. The current negotiations prioritize electrification, with a goal to increase the share of renewables in global energy consumption from 23% to 35% by 2035. Irene Vélez Torres, former environment minister of Colombia, urged delegates to ensure that this electrification is powered by green sources rather than gas, coal, or diesel. More than 68,500 participants attended the conference, though traffic congestion in Antalya delayed several morning sessions.

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